Poll: Warren Takes 11 Point Lead In Iowa

Sen. Elizabeth Warren

The latest Iowa Starting Line-Change Research poll shows Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) has opened up an 11 point lead in the Iowa Caucus.

Warren scored 28% support from likely Iowa Caucus-goers in the poll.

Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) were tied for second with 17 percent each.

Mayor Pete Buttigieg came in fourth at 13 percent and Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) has the backing of 8 percent.

Both Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ) and former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-TX) garnered 3% of caucus-goers’ support.

The remaining candidates received 2 percent or less.

(image via Starting Line/Change Research)

That's quite a change from the last Starting Line-Change Research poll from May when Warren was in the middle of the pack in 4th place.

Here’s where things stood then, along with their movement since:

May Poll (change to August):
Joe Biden: 24% (-7)
Bernie Sanders: 24% (-7)
Pete Buttigieg: 14% (-1)
Elizabeth Warren: 12% (+16)
Kamala Harris: 10% (-2)
Beto O’Rourke: 5% (-2)

Biden Leads By Double-Digits In New National Poll

Donald Trump (L), Joe Biden (R)

New polling shows former Vice President Joe Biden continues to hold a significant lead over other Democratic presidential contenders.

From The Hill:

Former Vice President Joe Biden has a 2-to-1 lead nationally over the next closest Democratic presidential contender after the second round of debates, according to the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll.

The new survey finds Biden with 34 percent support among Democrats, followed by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) at 17 percent.

Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) is in third place with 9 percent support, followed by Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) at 8 percent, South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 4 percent, former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke at 3 percent and Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) at 2 percent.

“Biden has been steady despite some rocky performances at the debates,” said Mark Penn, co-director of the Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll. “The Democratic voters are far more in sync with Biden’s views than any of the other candidates running. He maintains his front-runner status.”

The poll also showed 46 percent of Democrats view Biden as best choice to beat Trump, followed by Sanders at 34 percent.

Trump Twitter Tantrum After Fox & Friends Reads Fox News Poll Showing Biden 10+

L-R Donald Trump, Joe Biden

Donald Trump is now raging at his beloved Fox & Friends morning show on Fox News.

The hosts made the grave error of reading the results of Fox's own recent poll showing Trump would lose to former Vice President Joe Biden by 10 points.

Remember, this is from Fox News itself.

"FoxNews is at it again. So different from what they used to be during the 2016 Primaries, & before - Proud Warriors! Now new Fox Polls, which have always been terrible to me (they had me losing BIG to Crooked Hillary), have me down to Sleepy Joe. Even considering the fact that I have gone through a three year vicious Witch Hunt, perpetrated by the Lamestream Media in Collusion with Crooked and the Democrat Party, there can be NO WAY, with the greatest Economy in U.S. history, that I can be losing to the Sleepy One. KEEP AMERICA GREAT!"

Cue the sad trombone sound...

....the fact that I have gone through a three year vicious Witch Hunt, perpetrated by the Lamestream Media in Collusion with Crooked and the Democrat Party, there can be NO WAY, with the greatest Economy in U.S. history, that I can be losing to the Sleepy One. KEEP AMERICA GREAT!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) July 26, 2019

Here's the video. Watch how Hegseth jumps in to shut down the idea that Trump's reelection might be in jeopardy. pic.twitter.com/xANjklgIgc

— Matthew Gertz (@MattGertz) July 26, 2019

Fox News poll: 2020 Democrats

Biden 33% (+1 since June)
Sanders 15% (+2)
Warren 12% (+3)
Harris 10% (+2)
Buttigieg 5% (-3)

margin of error: +/- 4.5 points

— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) July 26, 2019

.@realDonaldTrump, we know you love the polls. We're glad you saw the latest from Fox: Biden 49%, Trump 39. You're losing by ten. Have a nice day.

— Team Joe (@TeamJoe) July 26, 2019

News Round-Up: July 24, 2019

(via Instagram)

Some news items you might have missed:

• InstaHunks: Woofy Diego Lozano (above) reminds me how many InstaHunks I follow in Spain. Which I guess explains why I'm headed back there in August ;)

• The Economist: In a new poll conducted by YouGov, former Vice President Joe Biden has a 7 point lead over Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) 25/18 respectively. In third place, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) garnered 13 percent support.

• GQ: Asked about "gay rumors," NFL star Odell Beckham Jr. says he "wasn't offended," adding, "I have no problem with anyone's sexual orientation. Love is Love."

• Twitter: Not to be weird or anything, but is that the 'white power' hand signal Trump is making?

Trump makes a hand gesture while saying AOC's name pic.twitter.com/2266fEvlWE

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) July 23, 2019

• Billboard: Out rapper Lil Nas X has tied the record (16 weeks) for the most weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100. The other record holders are Mariah Carey & Boyz II Men’s “One Sweet Day,” and Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee and Justin Bieber’s “Despacito.” He also scored 8 MTV Music Video Award nominations today including 'Video of the Year.'

• USA Today: A New Jersey school board member, Daniel Leonard, may face an ethics inquiry over social media posts that include violent comments regarding Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-Michigan). One post read, "My life would be complete if she/they die," across a photo of Tlaib. Leonard was, unsurprisingly, charged in a road rage incident last week where he crashed into a tree while chasing another motorist.

• Out Music: Openly pansexual artist Madison Malone releases this sweet mid-tempo groove, "Quiet Down." The music video features a wide, diverse universe of folks sharing their thoughts on what "love is."

The Wisconsin native has performed at some of the world's largest music festivals including SXSW and SUMMERFEST, where she was voted ‘Favorite Emerging Artist.' Find out more at her official website here.

CNN Draws Lineups For 2nd Democratic Debates As Biden Continues To Lead

A new NBC News|SurveyMonkey online poll shows former Vice President Joe Biden still leading the pack of 2020 Democratic presidential candidates, although the numbers are beginning to tighten.

Biden garnered 25% support in the survey taken after the first Democratic debate.

Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) tied at second with 16% support each.

California Sen. Kamala Harris barely behind them with 14% and Mayor Pete Buttigieg rounds out the Top 5 with 8% support.

These seem to be coalescing into the top tier candidates.

National Dem Primary:

Biden 25%
Sanders 16%
Warren 16%
Harris 14%
Buttigieg 8%
O’Rourke 3%
Booker 3%
Yang 2%
Castro 2%

NBC News/Survey Monkey Poll

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) July 19, 2019

In related news, CNN drew the placements last night for the second Democratic debates set to take place July 30 and 31.

Looks like Sanders and Warren will get to go head-to-head on the first night along with Mayor Pete, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) and former Rep. Beto O'Rourke, while Harris and Biden will have another chance to go at it on the second night .

Here are the podium positions for each night of CNN's Democratic debates https://t.co/BGKn1NXcFz pic.twitter.com/KdjAJHEYjU

— CNN Politics (@CNNPolitics) July 19, 2019

Poll: Harris Moves Into 2nd Place In New Hampshire Poll

The latest New Hampshire primary poll conducted by Saint Anselm College shows Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) moving into second place while Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) drops to fifth place.

• Former Vice President Joe Biden 21% (-2)
• Sen. Kamala Harris 18% (+11)
• Sen. Elizabeth Warren 17% (+8)
• Mayor Pete Buttigieg 12% (+1)
• Sen. Bernie Sanders 10% (-6)
• Entrepreneur Andrew Yang 5%
• Se. Amy Klobuchar 3% (+1)
• Author Marianne Williamson 2% (new)
• Sen. Cory Booker 1%
• Rep. Tulsi Gabbard 1%
• Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand 1%

The survey did not include other candidates: former U.S. Housing Secretary Julian Castro, former U.S. Rep. John Delaney, former Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper, U.S. Reps. Seth Moulton and Tim Ryan, Sen. Michael Bennet, New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio and Montana Gov. Steve Bullock.

New Poll Shows Only Biden With Decisive Margin Beating Trump

Donald Trump

Even though most Americans don't approve of Donald Trump's performance in most areas (except the economy) and see him as 'unpresidential,' new polling by a Washington Post/ABC News shows Trump does have a path to a second term thanks to a healthy economy.

The recent survey found Trump at his highest approval rating in the poll since he took office at 44 percent, with 53 percent disapproving.

The economy is the one topic where Trump edges out positive territory approval with 51 percent approving of his handling of the economy, with 42 percent disapproving.

According to the Washington Post, when asked how much credit Trump deserves for the state of the economy, 47 percent say a “great deal” or a “good amount,” while 48 percent say he deserves “only some” or “hardly any.”

A lopsided 65 percent feel Trump is "unpresidential" while only 28 percent say he is "fitting and proper."

The recent poll asked respondents about head-to-head matchups between Trump and five possible Democratic nominees: former Vice President Joe Biden, Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), Kamala D. Harris (D-Calif.), Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg.

Biden had the only decisive margin with the former Vice President beating Trump 53 percent to 43 percent, respectively.

Sen. Harris edged Trump by 2 points, 48 percent to Trump's 46 percent.

Sen. Sanders barely beat Trump by one point, 49 percent/48 percent, Warren tied Trump at 48 percent, and Buttigieg tied the Trumpster at 47 percent.

There is still a big gender divide among voters with men favoring Trump over four of the Democrats (it's pretty much a tie between Trump and Biden), and women choosing all five Dems over the president.

I know some folks don't see how Trump could be re-elected - this is how.

Check out the article at the WaPo here. 

New Florida Poll Shows Biden Would Beat Trump 9+

Donald Trump (L) Joe Biden (R)

I know, I know, it's way early but I always find polls (from reputable firms) interesting to gauge the mood of voters.

A new poll of Florida voters from Quinnipiac University shows former Vice President Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by 9 points in a hypothetical head-to-head match up 50% - 41% respectively.

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders would trump Trump by 6 points, 48% - 42% respectively.

Some Democrats did better than Trump but within the statistical margin of error:

• Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren 47% to Trump's 43%

• California Sen. Kamala Harris 45% to Trump's 44%

• Former Texas Rep. Beto O'Rourke 45% to Trump's 44%

• Mayor Pete Buttigieg 44% to Trump's 43%

Also from the survey:

• Democrats back Joe Biden 91 - 3 percent versus Republicans backing Trump 90 - 7 percent.

• Florida voters are not hip on impeaching Trump 62 percent against versus 32 percent who support.

• 54 percent of Florida voters say they are better off today than they were in 2016; 23 percent say they are worse off.

• But Trump's approval rating is still upside down: 44% approval versus disapproval at 51%.

On the Democrats side, Joe Biden has a huge lead among his fellow contenders garnering 41 percent.

It drops a lot to the second place with Sanders getting 14 percent, Warren 12 percent, Buttigieg 8 percent and Harris scoring 6 percent.

While Trump won Florida's 29 electoral votes in 2016, he beat Hillary Clinton by only 1.2 points - 49 percent to 47.8 percent respectively. So anything along the lines of this poll is devastating for Trump.

Trump Tells Aides To Deny His Own Polling Showing Him Trailing 6 Democrats

Donald Trump

No surprise, but when Donald Trump gets bad news - even from inside his own campaign - he just jumps over to Earth 2 and lives in his own reality.

From the New York Times:

After being briefed on a devastating 17-state poll conducted by his campaign pollster, Tony Fabrizio, Mr. Trump told aides to deny that his internal polling showed him trailing Mr. Biden in many of the states he needs to win, even though he is also trailing in public polls from key states like Texas, Michigan and Pennsylvania.

And when top-line details of the polling leaked, including numbers showing the president lagging in a cluster of critical Rust Belt states, Mr. Trump instructed aides to say publicly that other data showed him doing well.

Trump then took to Twitter to lie saying his internal polling shows "the best numbers WE have ever had."

.....The Fake (Corrupt) News Media said they had a leak into polling done by my campaign which, by the way and despite the phony and never ending Witch Hunt, are the best numbers WE have ever had. They reported Fake numbers that they made up & don’t even exist. WE WILL WIN AGAIN!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 12, 2019

In reality, a new Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday showed Trump trailing six Democratic White House hopefuls nationally:

In hypothetical head-to-head matchups, former Vice President Joe Biden trumped Trump by 13 points, 53 percent to 40 percent.

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) beat Trump 51 percent to Trump's 42 percent.

Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) ahead of Trump 49 percent to 41 percent.

Sen. Elizabeth Warrant (D-MA) up 49 percent to Trump's 42 percent.

Both Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Cory Booker (N-NJ) topped Trump by 5 points, 47 percent to 42 percent.

Poll: Presidential Voters Say Age More Disqualifying Than Being Gay

A new a Reuters/Ipsos poll may be good news for Mayor Pete Buttigieg as the survey shows age may be a more disqualifying factor for presidential candidates than sexual orientation.

Via Reuters:

Overall, the poll found that 48% of adults in the United States said they were “much” or “somewhat” less likely to support someone for the White House if the person was older than 70, while 34% were less likely to vote for someone who is gay.

And 12% said they were more likely to vote for a gay candidate, compared with 11% who said they were more likely to support a candidate who is over 70.

The current Democratic field of candidates running for the 2020 presidential nomination includes two septuagenarians - former Vice President Joe Biden and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.

The poll also showed that minorities were more likely to be supportive of a gay candidate than whites, and millennials were more supportive than Baby Boomers. Additionally, urban dwellers were more supportive than those living in rural areas.

Nearly Half Of Republicans Would Be Bothered Hearing Foreign Language Spoken In US

(stock image via Depositphotos)

From The Hill:

Close to half of white Republicans in the United States said they would be bothered if they heard someone speak a foreign language in public in a new survey released by the Pew Research Center on Wednesday.

According to the new survey, 47 percent of white respondents who identified as Republican or Republican-leaning said they would be bothered “some” or “a lot” by a person speaking a language in public that was not English.

By contrast, only 18 percent white respondents who identified as Democrat or Democrat-leaning said they would be bothered.

Fifty-eight percent of white Democrats said that they wouldn’t be bothered at all by hearing someone speak in a foreign language in a public. Twenty-six percent of white Republicans also answered the same.

Outside of political modifiers, the survey found that 34 percent of all white respondents said they would be bothered hearing people speak in a foreign language in public.

Majority Of Americans Aren't Feeling Impeachment

Donald Trump

As Donald Trump's approval rating continues to hover at a limp 39% following the release of the Mueller report, the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll shows:

• 58% of Americans believe Trump lied to the public about the issues involved in the Mueller investigation

• Only 31% of those polled believe he told the truth

• 56% of Americans don't feel impeachment proceedings should be pursued at this time

• 37% say Congress should move forward on impeachment

New Polling: Americans Trust Nancy Pelosi More Than Donald Trump

Nancy Pelosi (L) and Donald Trump (R)

New polling from Quinnipiac University has some interesting results:

• American voters trust Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi more than President Trump by a margin of 49% to 42% respectively.

• That gap is wider with independent voters with Pelosi getting 49% still but Trump dropping to 36%.

• 56% say the recent shutdown of the federal government was Trump and Congressional Republicans' fault, while only 34% put the onus on Democrats.

• Trump's job approval rating dropped to 38% in the QU poll while his disapproval jumped to 57%.

• Voters support a bill that funds new border security measures but without funding for a wall 61% versus 33% who don't approve of that approach.

• 66% disapprove of the president using "emergency powers" to get his wall built.

• 70% of voters believe transgender people should be able to serve in the U.S. military versus 20% who do not approve.

News Round-Up: January 29, 2019

InstaHunk Dan Tai

Some news items you might have missed:

• InstaHunk Dan Tai asks, "Do you count your macros?" I don't even know what that means (I'm sure it's important) because calves, biceps, deltoids, face...

• Desperate Housewives/Ugly Betty star Vanessa Williams has been tapped for a lead role in Happy Accident, ABC’s family comedy pilot from the writers of Modern Family. #Yay!

• Congressional Republicans aren't fond of Donald Trump's idea to declare a 'national emergency' in order to get his beloved wall, but they've signaled they won't put up a stink if he does.

• Reuters reports that The Trump administration’s $1.5 trillion cut tax package appeared to have no major impact on businesses’ capital investment or hiring plans.

• A new Washington Post/ABC News poll shows 56% of registered voters will "definitely" not vote for Donald Trump in the 2020 election.

• And speaking of the 2020 election, Sen. Kamala Harris of California broke records Monday night when her televised town hall became the most viewed event of its kind in cable news history with 1.957 million views. The event drew the most viewers of any cable-news, single-candidate town hall.

• Out singer/songwriter Sam Smith and former Fifth Harmony member Normani release their sensual, moody music video for their hit duet, "Dancing with a Stranger."

Alone in a lavish mansion, both artists are attempting to get over former lovers. I like the song; not sure about Normani's dancing in the middle there, but I guess it's in the title so someone had to dance...?

Polls: Trump's Rating Continue To Sink As He Clings To Border Wall Demand

Donald Trump

Recently polling shows the longer the current Trump shutdown of the federal government continues, the more it wears on his approval rating.

New results from the Morning Consult/POLITICO poll shows Trump's approval rating has dropped to 40% while his disapproval rating has hit an all-time high for this poll of 57%.

More results:

• 54% put the onus on Trump and Congressional Republicans for the government shutdown, while 35% blame Democrats.

• In regarding to the ongoing investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election, a solid majority - 57% - believe Russia has compromising information on Trump.

The results of the latest CBS News poll aren't any better for Trump:

• 66% of those polled say Trump should agree to the current budget proposal without insisting on his wall.

• Regarding the current shutdown, 47% approved of the way Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi is handling the situation versus 35% approving of Trump's approach.

• Trump's approval rating in the CBS News poll has dropped to 36% while 59% disapprove of the job he's doing.

Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi isn't shy about spreading the news...

NEW CBS POLL 📊

▪️An overwhelming 71% of the American public believe Trump should not be holding workers hostage to his demands.

▪️Oh, and his approval ratings plummet to 36%.https://t.co/JdkBanjB3q

— Nancy Pelosi (@TeamPelosi) January 23, 2019

Poll: 62% Of Americans Don't Believe Trump Has Been Honest About Russian Interference

Donald Trump

A new poll by NBC/Wall Street Journal taken after the midterm elections shows a majority of Americans think Donald Trump hasn't been truthful regarding the ongoing investigation into Russian meddling in the 2016 election.

• Almost two-thirds (62% of those polled) say Trump has not been honest regarding Russian interference in the last presidential election.

• 33% believe the economy will get worse in the next 12 months versus 28% who believe it will continue to improve.

• Only 38% of those polled would vote to re-elect Trump president.

• Only 33% say Trump 'got the message' that voters want a change of direction via the midterm elections; 22% say he got the message but won't make any changes in his approach to the presidency.

• 56% say the country is headed in the wrong direction.

Check out more from the recent survey here.

Donald Trump's Disapproval Rating Jumps To 60%

Click image to enlarge

Donald Trump's approval rating drops again, this time to a low 38% according to the Gallup tracking poll.

Worse, though, is his disapproval rating that jumped up to his high of 60%.

Gallup tracks daily the percentage of Americans who approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president. Weekly results are based on telephone interviews with approximately 1,500 national adults, with a margin of error is ±3 percentage points.

54% Of Republicans Feel Kavanaugh Should Be Confirmed Even If Sexual Misconduct Allegations Are True

A recent Marist poll shows a majority of Republicans - 54% - feel Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh should be confirmed even if the allegations of sexual misconduct by Dr. Christine Blasey Ford are true.

Drilling down a bit deeper, the results showed 48% of Evangelical Republicans don't mind his confirmation even if the accusations by Ford are true. That says something, doesn't it?

Thirty-two percent of Republicans do not believe Kavanaugh should sit on the high court if Ford's allegations are true.

Only 12% of Democrats believed that he should be confirmed if the allegations are true.

The same poll showed Kavanaugh is upside down in his approval ratings with 31% approval versus 37% disapproving.

Poll: Bernie Sanders & Joe Biden Beat Trump By Double-Digits In Hypothetical Matchup

The results of a new Morning Consult/Politico poll shows both Sen. Bernie Sanders (42%-32%) and former Vice President Joe Biden (43%-31%) beating Donald Trump in hypothetical matchups by double digits.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts also appears to lead Trump by four points (34%-30%).

Donald Trump: My Followers Are The Smartest, Strongest In History"

Donald Trump

Donald Trump took to Twitter, his favorite sandbox, to lavish praise on his followers this morning calling them the "smartest, strongest, most hard working and most loyal" in the history of the United States.

"My supporters are the smartest, strongest, most hard working and most loyal that we have seen in our countries history. It is a beautiful thing to watch as we win elections and gather support from all over the country. As we get stronger, so does our country. Best numbers ever!" he tweeted.

My supporters are the smartest, strongest, most hard working and most loyal that we have seen in our countries history. It is a beautiful thing to watch as we win elections and gather support from all over the country. As we get stronger, so does our country. Best numbers ever!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 16, 2018

Not really sure what "numbers" the Trumpster is looking at.

FiveThirtyEight took a look at Morning Consult's monthly round up of approval polls from every state in the county.

The simple math shows Trump’s net approval has declined in all 50 states since he took office.

He's lost the most ground in New Mexico and Illinois - both show 31 point drops since inauguration day.

Trump has lost the least support in Louisiana and Alabama - only 6 point declines, but still, declines.

FiveThirtyEight also points out that Trump's approval is basically steady at

Plus, the generic ballot asking which party would voters like to see win in the mid-term elections shows Democrats with an 8 point advantage, up two points from last month.