Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Hillary Clinton Surges To 7 Point Lead In Nevada

My state! My state! My state!

After trailing Donald Trump by 2 points last month, the latest Monmouth University poll shows Democrat Hillary Clinton has surged to a 7 point lead in the vital swing state of Nevada.

Among Nevada voters likely to participate in November's presidential election, 47% currently support Clinton and 40% back Trump. Another 7% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 2% say they will choose Nevada's unique "none of these candidates" ballot option. Monmouth's September poll had Trump at 44% and Clinton at 42%. This order was reversed in July with Clinton at 45% and Trump at 41%.

The rise in Clinton's support over the past month is due mainly to two groups that normally lean Democratic - non-white voters and younger voters. Clinton has expanded her lead among non-white voters, now at 67% to 18% compared with 63% to 28% in September. She has also pulled ahead among voters under the age of 50 - now leading Trump by 55% to 28% compared with a virtual tie (41% Clinton to 40% Trump) last month.

Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto remains 3 points (42% vs 45%) behind Congressman Joe Heck in the race to replace retiring Sen. Harry Reid.

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