Wednesday, February 17, 2016

New Poll Shows Hillary Clinton & Bernie Sanders In Dead Heat For Nevada Caucus

According to a new CNN/ORC poll, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sanders are in a virtual tie in Nevada only days before the state's caucuses this Saturday.

Clinton received 48% of likely Democratic caucusgoers while Sanders clocked in at 47%.

It's worth noting, however, that while the CNN/ORC Nevada Poll was conducted among a random sample of 1,006 adult residents of the state, the results among the 282 likely Democratic primary voters show a plus or minus 6 percentage points in terms of margin of error.

Also, the polling shows no breakdown of ethnicity other than Clinton leading Sanders with whites 46%-44%. If that's true, and the trend of Clinton doing better with Latinos and African-Americans, you would think she would be further ahead.

The turnout in 2008 was only 8% for the state caucuses, which in the long run, hardly represents an entire state. Sad.

Jon Ralston, noted political reporter in Nevada, tweeted earlier today that without knowing how minorities factor into the polling it's hard to get a good read of what's going on in the Silver State.

On the Republican side, it looks to be a blowout for Donald Trump who gets 45% of likely Republican caucusgoers. Sen. Marco Rubio comes in 2nd at 19% and Sen. Ted Cruz a close third with 17%.

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