Sunday, September 25, 2016

New Poll: Pennsylvania Race For White House Tightens To Clinton +3

The latest Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll of Pennsylvania likely voters shows Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton’s lead over GOP billionaire Donald Trump has tightened to 3 points in the critical battleground state of Pennsylvania.

This shows a loss of 6 points by Clinton to Trump in one week's time.

When factoring third-party candidates, Clinton holds a 2 point lead, 40 percent to 38 percent. Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson garners only 8 percent support, and the Green Party’s Jill Stein has 3 percent.

The biggest factor in the tightened race is due to a jump of 85 percent of likely Republican voters in Pennsylvania supporting Trump, up from 71 percent in the last poll.

The survey is the result of polling 486 likely voters, with a margin of error of 5 percentage points.

These kinds of results are exactly why Clinton supporters need to not become complacent in some battleground states. For weeks now, pundits have called Pennsylvania fairly safe for Clinton.

That said, it's important to not let one poll of less than 500 likely voters cause full-blown panic.

According to the RealClearPolitics average of polls, Clinton leads Trump in Pennsylvania by an average of 5.2 points, 46 percent to 40.8 percent.

The NY Times tracking poll for The UpShot shows Hillary having an 84% chance of winning the Keystone State.

And, Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight website shows Clinton with a 70% chance of winning Pennsylvania.

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