Donald Trump |
According to the numbers:
Biden leads Trump by 16 points in Pennsylvania, 10 points in Wisconsin, and 7 points in Florida.
In deep red state Texas, Trump leads Biden but by only 2 points.
Until Trump's narrow wins in both Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the two states had voted for the Democratic presidential candidate for decades. Trump cannot afford to lose either of those states as well as Florida.
Earlier this week, Trump denied that such polling exists.
The Fake News has never been more dishonest than it is today. Thank goodness we can fight back on Social Media. Their new weapon of choice is Fake Polling, sometimes referred to as Suppression Polls (they suppress the numbers). Had it in 2016, but this is worse.....— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 12, 2019
.....The Fake (Corrupt) News Media said they had a leak into polling done by my campaign which, by the way and despite the phony and never ending Witch Hunt, are the best numbers WE have ever had. They reported Fake numbers that they made up & don’t even exist. WE WILL WIN AGAIN!— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 12, 2019
ABC News reports it did not obtain any data on early matchups against other candidates.
The New York Times was first to report the existence of the internal polls.
The Trump campaign told ABC News the data is real but pushed back saying the numbers were old. The campaign apparently claimed that since that polling they've seen "huge swings" in Trump’s favor.
In related news, a new poll by EPIC-MRA of Lansing out today shows Biden leading Trump by 11 points 52%-41%.
Michigan was another traditionally blue state that went for Trump in 2016, but by less than 1 percentage point.