Thursday, July 7, 2016

Pew Poll: Hillary Clinton Holds 9+ Lead Over Donald Trump

Pew Research shares the latest nationwide results in the 2016 presidential campaign:

The new national survey by Pew Research Center was conducted June 15-26 among 2,245 adults, including 1,655 registered voters.

In a two-way contest, 51% of registered voters support Clinton or lean toward her, while 42% support or lean toward Trump.

In a three-way contest, including Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson, 45% favor Clinton, 36% support Trump and 11% back Johnson.

A majority of registered voters (56%) say the phrase “personally qualified to be president” better describes Clinton than Trump; just 30% say the phrase better describes Trump.

Far more voters also say the phrase “would use good judgment in a crisis” better describes Clinton (53%) than Trump (36%).

It's interesting to note that in 2012, the June Pew Poll showed President Obama up over Mitt Romney 50% to 46%, and Obama went on to win by the same margin - 4 points.

In June of 2008, Obama led Sen. John McCain by 8 points, 48% - 40%, and Obama won by a similar spread - 7 points.

I'll  be curious to see if this predictive ability holds up this November.

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