Wednesday, June 29, 2016
Super-Stats Guy Nate Silver: Hillary Clinton Has 80% Chance Of Winning Presidency
Super statistician Nate Silver, who predicted 49 out of 50 states in the 2008 presidential race and 50 out of 50 in 2012, has launched his 2016 Election Forecast page.
The page takes into account all the recent polls in an effort to track where the race for the White House is on any given day. There are three models that crunch the numbers - Polls Only, Polls Plus (which takes into account all polls plus economic conditions and historical data), and Now-Cast (which discerns what the outcome would be if the election were held today).
You can bookmark this and check every now and then to get, in my opinion, one of the best indications of the state of the presidential race.