Sunday, October 6, 2013

Could the GOP lose the House in Fall 2014 elections?





Public Policy Polling compiled two dozen surveys from House districts with GOP incumbents from around the country, taken from Oct. 2 through Oct. 4. Sample sizes were between 600 and 700 voters in each district.


For Democrats to win a House majority, 17 seats would need to switch to their party's favor.

Results show that would be within reach, as Republican incumbents are behind in 17 of the districts analyzed: CA-31, CO-06, FL-02, FL-10, FL-13, IA-03, IA-04, IL-13, KY-06, MI-01, MI-07, MI-11, NY-19, OH-14, PA-07, PA-08, WI-07.

In 4 additional districts, the incumbent Republican fell behind after respondents were told their representative supported the government shutdown: CA-10, NY-11, NY-23, VA-02.

That makes for 21 possible seats that could change to Democrat next fall.  Again - only need 17.

Three districts saw GOP incumbents maintain their hold over their Democratic challengers, even after hearing their elected officials' views on the shutdown, including CA-21, NV-03 and OH-06.

(via HuffPost)

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