But while we're seeing tightening, Nate still sees the President at a 75% chance of winning. Should the Obama campaign stop the bleeding from the first debate, beginning with VP Joe Biden giving a strong performance at the VP debate this Thursday, things could definitely settle.
Everyone knew this would be a tight race. It's basically where it was months ago.
What will matter will be swing states, like Ohio.
President Obama leads in Ohio 51%-47% according to a poll released Tuesday by CNN.
Watch Ohio.
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