Nate Silver sees surge for Romney in polls

Nate Silver, of FiveThirtyEight, sees the Presidential campaign tightening clearly due to the first Obama/Romney debate.

But while we're seeing tightening, Nate still sees the President at a 75% chance of winning. Should the Obama campaign stop the bleeding from the first debate, beginning with VP Joe Biden giving a strong performance at the VP debate this Thursday, things could definitely settle.

Everyone knew this would be a tight race. It's basically where it was months ago.

What will matter will be swing states, like Ohio.

President Obama leads in Ohio 51%-47% according to a poll released Tuesday by CNN.

Watch Ohio.